H1N1 had an RØ of about 1.3, high enough to spread the virus but low enough that a strong isolation program could break its back. Its case fatality rate was a wussy 1.9 percent in Mexico and 0.1 percent worldwide. By comparison, the 1918 Spanish flu had an RØ of 2.7 and a case fatality rate of up to 5 percent, making it far more deadly. A real apocalypse, like the killer flu in The Stand — Stephen King's opus of epidemiologic eschatology — would be off the chart, with an RØ of 5 to 6 and a case fatality rate of 99 percent.Ther'es more information at the link, along with charts and maps. So apparently there's no fear of Captain Trips, at least for now.
Friday, June 26, 2009
Apocalypse Not Yet
Wired has a good article on how the Swine Flu apocalypse isn't living up to the hype:
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1 comments:
Just wait, it will be back in 2012 and we are all going to die.
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