So how much will cap and trade cost? Nate Silver
takes a look:
There is a fair amount of state-to-state variance, although it is exaggerated somewhat by the presence of a couple of outliers: Florida and D.C. on the one side and Wyoming and Alaska, which I think are being punished for the use of personal jet travel, on the other. The key question for the bill's passage might be whether Democrats can pick up some Republican votes in large, coastal states like Florida, California, New York, and North Carolina, each of which appears to be associated with below-average costs to end-users. Conversely, most of the places with the highest direct costs are places where the Democrats weren't likely to pick up many votes anyway, although this does suggest that votes like Mark Begich's in Alaska and Mary Landireu's in Louisiana will be tough ones if this gets to the Senate.
So, are Democratic states more equal than others? Meanwhile, Matt Steinglass says critics should just
shut up and take their medicine:
The hour of geeky wonkitude is past. Now we are where we are. This is the bill we have. The question is whether it will go through or not. That’s the only question. If the bill fails, it will mean victory has gone to those forces who are quite literally working to destroy Planet Earth. That is all that is happening here. There is no room here for skeptics and doubters and cavillers and doomsday-morning quarterbacks.
Well, pardon me if I'm more on the side of those who are "Destroying the Earth" here. Speaking of which, Jim Boehner
wants a filibuster. It probably wouldn't work, although considering that the Dems apparently
don't want the Republicans invited to their Greening of America party, I'm not surprised.
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